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The Golden Butterfly Portfolio by Portfolio Charts

Golden Butterfly Portfolio

The Golden Butterfly Portfolio by Tyler prioritizes consistently desirable investment growth by balancing economic conditions with an eye towards prosperity.

  • Asset Allocation
  • Author
  • Overview
  • Performance
  • Comparisons
  • Alternatives
  • Articles
  • Discussion

Asset Allocation


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Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
% Asset Class
20% United States Large Cap Blend Stocks
20% United States Small Cap Value Stocks
20% United States Long Term Treasury Bonds
20% United States Short Term Treasury Bonds
20% Global Gold

Author


Tyler

I’m a mechanical engineer, investing researcher, spreadsheet aficionado, and the author of Portfolio Charts. The Golden Butterfly is a portfolio idea born of my ongoing exploration.

Overview


The Golden Butterfly Portfolio is built on the idea of economic risk parity, similar to the Permanent Portfolio which shares four of its five assets. But while the Permanent Portfolio equally balances prosperity, recession, inflation, and deflation, the Golden Butterfly tilts the assets towards prosperity with an additional allocation to small cap value.

While to some that may seem like a trendy choice destined to underperform, the data reveals a remarkable truth. The Golden Butterfly is one of the best risk-adjusted portfolios out there, pairing the famous consistency of the Permanent Portfolio and the growth rates of far more aggressive options. With a tight band of growth paths that are helpful for future estimates and notably high withdrawal rates that are great for retirees, it’s a particularly dependable portfolio option suitable for both accumulators and retirees alike.

Featured Discussion

The Theory Behind the Golden Butterfly

Performance


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

Golden Butterfly
Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
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Annual Returns
Golden Butterfly

This displays the frequency and distribution of every individual inflation-adjusted annual return.

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Drawdowns
Golden Butterfly

This maps the fall and eventual recovery of every inflation-adjusted loss (using year-end data).

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Equalizer
Golden Butterfly

This compares the annual real returns of the portfolio to each asset and measures the volatility extremes.

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Financial Independence
Golden Butterfly

This tracks the range of years needed to fully fund the portfolio’s long term withdrawal rate.

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Heat Map
Golden Butterfly

This displays every real CAGR based on the year the money was invested and the years held.

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Long Term Returns
Golden Butterfly

This shows the full range of real CAGRs starting in every year based on how long you stayed invested.

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Portfolio Growth
Golden Butterfly

This tracks the inflation-adjusted portfolio growth of every investing start date simultaneously.

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Retirement Spending
Golden Butterfly

This studies the real account values and withdrawals for every retirement year using custom withdrawal rules.

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Rolling Returns
Golden Butterfly

This maps the rolling real CAGRs for a given investing timeframe starting in every year.

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Savings Rates
Golden Butterfly

This shows the range of savings rates required to meet a financial goal looking at every investing timeframe.

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Start Date Sensitivity
Golden Butterfly

This compares how the last 10-year return compared to the next 10-year return at any point in time.

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Target Accuracy
Golden Butterfly

This shows how investor account values strayed from the smooth growth path implied by the long-term average.

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Withdrawal Rates
Golden Butterfly

This charts the withdrawal rates of every retiree simultaneously assuming constant real spending levels.

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Comparisons


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
Portfolio Matrix
Golden Butterfly

This ranks and sorts every tracked portfolio based on a variety of performance metrics.

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Learn more about the metrics on the Portfolio Matrix page.

Alternatives


Portfolios with a similar structure or design intent

Permanent Portfolio — The same fundamental portfolio without small cap value

All Seasons Portfolio — A similar investing philosophy built around economic risk parity

Pinwheel Portfolio — Another original idea designed for portfolio consistency

Articles


Insights that mention the Golden Butterfly Portfolio

March 15, 2026
Portfolio Charts Just Got a Huge Upgrade
January 13, 2026
Lessons From the Best Portfolios in 2025
December 19, 2025
What to Do When It’s Time to Rebalance

Discussion


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