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The Larry Portfolio by Larry Swedroe

Larry Portfolio

The Larry Portfolio by Larry Swedroe balances small percentages of risky stocks with large percentages of safe bonds to maximize returns while minimizing risk.

  • Asset Allocation
  • Author
  • Overview
  • Performance
  • Comparisons
  • Alternatives
  • Articles
  • Discussion

Asset Allocation


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Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
% Asset Class
15% United States Small Cap Value Stocks
8% Developed ex-US Small Cap Value Stocks
7% Emerging Markets Large Cap Blend Stocks
70% United States Intermediate Term Treasury Bonds
Asset Notes
  1. Swedroe specifically recommends emerging market value. ย I donโ€™t have data for this asset, so allocated the portion to emerging markets.ย  I anticipate the numbers to be reasonably close, but be sure to read Swedroeโ€™s reasoning for why he chooses the fund he does.

The Portfolio Charts tools use round numbers, so I reallocated the portfolio slightly while preserving the original design intent as closely as possible.

Other Versions

Swedroe seems to have shared a few different versions of the same basic idea over the years. For example, the Swedroe Min Fat Tails Portfolio documented by Meb Faber contains 15% small cap blend, 15% emerging markets, 35% T-Bills, and 35% TIPS.

Author


Larry Swedroe

Larry Swedroe is a financial author and the Chief Research Officer at Buckingham Strategic Wealth. You can read about the Larry Portfolio in the book Reducing The Risk of Black Swans by Swedroe and Kevin Grogan.

Overview


Larry Swedroe is one of the more prolific financial authors out there today, and if I had to pick the two topics where he carries the most weight they would be factor investing and risk management. The Larry Portfolio combines those two specialties into a single portfolio that simultaneously increases returns and reduces risk. It accomplishes those goals with very deliberate asset choices built into an intelligent risk management framework.

The Larry Portfolio is discussed in Swedroe’s book Reducing The Risk of Black Swans, which is an educational treatise on how to avoid unexpected catastrophic losses. The basic idea is to mix small percentages of assets with the highest expected returns (but also the highest uncertainty) with large percentages of stable bonds to protect yourself even if the risky assets totally tank. That idea of adjusting asset percentages inversely proportional to their volatility is called “risk parity”. And the Larry Portfolio is a prime example of that sophisticated financial concept distilled into a simple portfolio that anyone can build for themselves.

Featured Discussion

Black Swans And The Larry Portfolio

Performance


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

Larry Portfolio
Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
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Annual Returns
Larry Portfolio

This displays the frequency and distribution of every individual inflation-adjusted annual return.

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Drawdowns
Larry Portfolio

This maps the fall and eventual recovery of every inflation-adjusted loss (using year-end data).

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Equalizer
Larry Portfolio

This compares the annual real returns of the portfolio to each asset and measures the volatility extremes.

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Financial Independence
Larry Portfolio

This tracks the range of years needed to fully fund the portfolio’s long term withdrawal rate.

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Heat Map
Larry Portfolio

This displays every real CAGR based on the year the money was invested and the years held.

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Long Term Returns
Larry Portfolio

This shows the full range of real CAGRs starting in every year based on how long you stayed invested.

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Portfolio Growth
Larry Portfolio

This tracks the inflation-adjusted portfolio growth of every investing start date simultaneously.

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Retirement Spending
Larry Portfolio

This studies the real account values and withdrawals for every retirement year using custom withdrawal rules.

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Rolling Returns
Larry Portfolio

This maps the rolling real CAGRs for a given investing timeframe starting in every year.

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Savings Rates
Larry Portfolio

This shows the range of savings rates required to meet a financial goal looking at every investing timeframe.

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Start Date Sensitivity
Larry Portfolio

This compares how the last 10-year return compared to the next 10-year return at any point in time.

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Target Accuracy
Larry Portfolio

This shows how investor account values strayed from the smooth growth path implied by the long-term average.

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Withdrawal Rates
Larry Portfolio

This charts the withdrawal rates of every retiree simultaneously assuming constant real spending levels.

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Comparisons


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
Portfolio Matrix
Larry Portfolio

This ranks and sorts every tracked portfolio based on a variety of performance metrics.

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Learn more about the metrics on the Portfolio Matrix page.

Alternatives


Portfolios with a similar structure or design intent

All Seasons Portfolio — Similar portfolio structure to balance volatility risk between assets

Merriman Ultimate — Shares a strong belief in the small and value factors

Permanent Portfolio — Also balances a smaller percentage of stocks with other assets

Articles


Insights that mention the Larry Portfolio

Black Swans And The Larry Portfolio

Black Swans And The Larry Portfolio

How to Succeed in the Worst Stock Markets

How to Succeed in the Worst Stock Markets

Three Risk Parity Strategies Most Immune to Politics

Three Risk Parity Strategies Most Immune to Politics

The New 2023 Portfolio Data Is Here

The New 2023 Portfolio Data Is Here

The Best Returns Quilt Covers All Portfolios

The Best Returns Quilt Covers All Portfolios

Halfway to Nowhere: 2022 Mid-Year Portfolio Rankings

Halfway to Nowhere: 2022 Mid-Year Portfolio Rankings

Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus

Unexpected Returns: Shannon’s Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus

Portfolio Roundup: The Fastest Way to Lose Money in 2020

Portfolio Roundup: The Fastest Way to Lose Money in 2020

Asset Allocation in the Most Painful Month

Asset Allocation in the Most Painful Month

The Top 4 Portfolios to Recession-Proof Your Investments

The Top 4 Portfolios to Recession-Proof Your Investments

High Profits at Low Rates: The Benefits of Bond Convexity

High Profits at Low Rates: The Benefits of Bond Convexity

Averages, Beverages, And The Benefits Of Baseline Returns

Averages, Beverages, And The Benefits Of Baseline Returns

The Pool Of Portfolio Data Is Now Better Than Ever

The Pool Of Portfolio Data Is Now Better Than Ever

The Top Portfolio Charts Posts Of 2017

The Top Portfolio Charts Posts Of 2017

Discussion


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