The Coffeehouse Portfolio by Bill Schultheis is a traditional 60% stock portfolio that seeks to capture market returns while subdividing the stocks into several targeted funds.
Bill Schultheis is a Wall Street veteran and a financial adviser at Soundmark Wealth Management. He talks about the Coffeehouse Portfolio in his book The Coffeehouse Investor.
Overview
The Coffeehouse Portfolio straddles an interesting line between promoting a conservative Classic 60-40 mindset while mixing in a more aggressive slice and dice approach to factor investing. Its author Bill Schultheis believes that the most important concepts in investing are actually not so much about specific asset choices but about three key principles:
Donโt put all your eggs in one basket
Thereโs no such thing as a free lunch
Save for a rainy day
In fact, in his unique humble style Schultheis underplays the specific asset allocation on his Coffeehouse Investor blog. He once explained that his initial portfolio recommendation was intended to be just one example of a Coffeehouse-style portfolio, but that his suggestion soon took on a life of its own. As he described it:
Despite its enduring popularity, the portfolio benefit isn’t found in its specific construction nor its 20-year returns. It’s found in investors “capturing their fair share of market returns” over time, as Mr. Bogle was fond of saying.
So one could argue that the Coffeehouse Portfolio might best be described as a mindset rather than a single specific asset allocation. Still, I think Schultheis perhaps sells himself a little short in his recommended portfolio. Even if it was just one example, I find a lot of wisdom in his work and believe his instincts are absolutely worth further study.
Performance
Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.
Coffeehouse Portfolio
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currency, inflation, & funds
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Annual Returns
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This displays the frequency and distribution of every individual inflation-adjusted annual return.
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Drawdowns
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This maps the fall and eventual recovery of every inflation-adjusted loss (using year-end data).
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Equalizer
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This compares the annual real returns of the portfolio to each asset and measures the volatility extremes.
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Financial Independence
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This tracks the range of years needed to fully fund the portfolio’s long term withdrawal rate.
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Heat Map
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This displays every real CAGR based on the year the money was invested and the years held.
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Long Term Returns
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This shows the full range of real CAGRs starting in every year based on how long you stayed invested.
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Portfolio Growth
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This tracks the inflation-adjusted portfolio growth of every investing start date simultaneously.
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Retirement Spending
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This studies the real account values and withdrawals for every retirement year using custom withdrawal rules.
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Rolling Returns
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This maps the rolling real CAGRs for a given investing timeframe starting in every year.
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Savings Rates
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This shows the range of savings rates required to meet a financial goal looking at every investing timeframe.
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Start Date Sensitivity
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This compares how the last 10-year return compared to the next 10-year return at any point in time.
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Target Accuracy
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This shows how investor account values strayed from the smooth growth path implied by the long-term average.
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Withdrawal Rates
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This charts the withdrawal rates of every retiree simultaneously assuming constant real spending levels.
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Comparisons
Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.
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Portfolio Matrix
Coffeehouse Portfolio
This ranks and sorts every tracked portfolio based on a variety of performance metrics.