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7Twelve Portfolio by Craig Israelsen

7Twelve Portfolio

The 7Twelve Portfolio by Craig Israelsen is an asset-based approach to diversification that balances portfolio returns by investing in a wide variety of unique asset types.

  • Asset Allocation
  • Author
  • Overview
  • Performance
  • Comparisons
  • Alternatives
  • Articles
  • Discussion

Asset Allocation


Change the home country toย translateย the portfolio to local asset options.

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Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
% Asset Class
13% United States Large Cap Blend Stocks
12% United States Small Cap Blend Stocks
8% Developed ex-US Large Cap Blend Stocks
8% Emerging Markets Large Cap Blend Stocks
17% United States Intermediate Term Treasury Bonds
9% United States Treasury Bills
8% Developed ex-US Intermediate Term Treasury Bonds
8% United States Real Estate Investment Trusts
17% Global Commodities
Asset Notes

1. Israelsen specifically recommends equal parts large cap blend, mid cap blend, and small cap blend. The data here simplifies that to half large caps and half small caps. Because most large cap index funds include mid caps and many small cap funds also have more mid caps than you might expect, the results should be very similar. But if you want to follow his recommendation to the letter, you might consider looking for a separate mid-cap fund.

2. Israelsen specifically recommends equal parts nominal bonds and TIPS. ย Since I donโ€™t have specific data for TIPS, I allocated this portion to intermediate term bonds. ย While this is a pretty good proxy that should model the design intent reasonably well, be sure to read Israelsenโ€™s justifications for why he chooses the bonds he does.

3. He specifically recommends 8.3% commodities and 8.3% natural resources, but good data for natural resources is not available. ย Keeping with his theme of having two equal segments in the โ€œresourcesโ€ category, I allocated the natural resources to the commodities portion. ย Thereโ€™s a decent amount of overlap in commodities and natural resources ETFs, so I anticipate this will not change the results all that much.

4. The Portfolio Charts tools use round numbers, so I reallocated the portfolio slightly while preserving the original design intent as closely as possible.

Author


Craig Israelsen

Craig L. Israelsen, Ph.D., is an Executive-in-Residence in the Financial Planning Program at Utah Valley University. He talks about the 7Twelve Portfolio in his bookย 7Twelve: A Diversified Investment Portfolio with a Plan.

Overview


In contrast to the old-school definition of diversification in terms of company count, the 7Twelve Portfolio seeks to enhance performance and reduce risk by diversifying among a wide variety of different asset types. The name is derived from the 12 different funds in the portfolio spread across 7 different asset classes.

  1. US Stock (large, mid, and small caps)
  2. Non-US Stock (developed, emerging)
  3. Real Estate
  4. Resources (natural resources, commodities)
  5. US Bonds (nominal, TIPS)
  6. Non-US Bonds
  7. Cash

Israelsen describes the thought process of mixing asset types as similar to making salsa, where individual ingredients may seem bland or way too spicy on their own but are all critical to the success of the recipe. The 7Twelve Portfolio assets are weighted in equal proportions, and he classifies it as a “core” portfolio that should be built around rather than tweaked. For example, his age based models all equally weight the same assets where the only difference is the percentage of cash that can be increased to reduce risk for older investors.

Featured Discussion

The 7Twelve Portfolio And The Power Of Broad Diversification

Performance


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

7Twelve Portfolio
Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
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Annual Returns
7Twelve Portfolio

This displays the frequency and distribution of every individual inflation-adjusted annual return.

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Drawdowns
7Twelve Portfolio

This maps the fall and eventual recovery of every inflation-adjusted loss (using year-end data).

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Equalizer
7Twelve Portfolio

This compares the annual real returns of the portfolio to each asset and measures the volatility extremes.

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Financial Independence
7Twelve Portfolio

This tracks the range of years needed to fully fund the portfolio’s long term withdrawal rate.

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Heat Map
7Twelve Portfolio

This displays every real CAGR based on the year the money was invested and the years held.

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Long Term Returns
7Twelve Portfolio

This shows the full range of real CAGRs starting in every year based on how long you stayed invested.

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Portfolio Growth
7Twelve Portfolio

This tracks the inflation-adjusted portfolio growth of every investing start date simultaneously.

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Retirement Spending
7Twelve Portfolio

This studies the real account values and withdrawals for every retirement year using custom withdrawal rules.

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Rolling Returns
7Twelve Portfolio

This maps the rolling real CAGRs for a given investing timeframe starting in every year.

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Savings Rates
7Twelve Portfolio

This shows the range of savings rates required to meet a financial goal looking at every investing timeframe.

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Start Date Sensitivity
7Twelve Portfolio

This compares how the last 10-year return compared to the next 10-year return at any point in time.

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Target Accuracy
7Twelve Portfolio

This shows how investor account values strayed from the smooth growth path implied by the long-term average.

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Withdrawal Rates
7Twelve Portfolio

This charts the withdrawal rates of every retiree simultaneously assuming constant real spending levels.

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Comparisons


Calculations use localized assets and data for the selected home country.

Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds
Portfolio Matrix
7Twelve Portfolio

This ranks and sorts every tracked portfolio based on a variety of performance metrics.

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Learn more about the metrics on the Portfolio Matrix page.

Alternatives


Portfolios with a similar structure or design intent

Ivy Portfolio — Broad equal weight diversification across many of the same asset categories

Golden Butterfly — Similar percentages of stocks, bonds, and real assets

Pinwheel Portfolio — Domestic and international diversification with targeted tilts

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Discussion


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