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Swensen Portfolio

The Swensen Portfolio by David Swensen packages the investing ideas used by the Yale Endowment in a format accessible to normal investors.

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  • Home Country
  • Asset Allocation
  • Author
  • Overview
  • Performance
  • Charts
  • Comparisons
  • Alternatives
  • Articles
  • Discussion

Home Country


Portfolio Charts is able to translate portfolio information to the local currency, inflation, and available funds of many different countries. Choose the home country where you live, and it will update every section of the page.

Home Country
currency, inflation, & funds

Asset Allocation


How to build a Swensen Portfolio

% Asset Class
30% Italy Large Cap Blend Stocks
15% Developed World Large Cap Blend Stocks
5% Emerging Markets Large Cap Blend Stocks
30% Italy Intermediate Term Treasury Bonds
20% United States Real Estate Investment Trusts
Asset Notes

1. Swensen specifically calls for 15% TIPS as part of the bond portion of the portfolio.  I donโ€™t have good data for that asset, so I added it to the overall IT bond allocation.  Be sure to read Swensenโ€™s explanation for why he chooses the assets he does.

Other Versions

The allocation here is the one discussed in Unconventional Success. In later interviews, Swensen recommended a small tweak where he shifted an additional 5% of the REIT allocation to emerging markets.

Author


David Swensen, author of the Swensen Portfolio

David Swensen

David Swensen was the famed Chief Investment Officer at Yale who led their endowment for more than three decades. He talks about the Swensen Portfolio in his book Unconventional Success.

Overview


David Swensen is most famous for his role as Chief Investment Officer of the Yale Endowment, one of the largest endowments in the world famous for its sustained superior returns. But since the Yale Endowment manages billions of dollars and invests in all kinds of exotic assets only available to large institutions, its methods are not that attainable by your average retail investor. Swensen sought to correct that shortcoming, however, and the Swensen Portfolio is his personal investing recommendation to people like you and me.

Swensen’s philosophy goes far beyond simple asset allocation. True to his principles that are sadly all too rare among big-time investors, his book Unconventional Success makes a compelling case for individuals to take control of their investments from the financial industry that does not have their best interests in mind.

One of the notable features of the Swensen Portfolio is a sizable allocation to REITs that reflect a common endowment strategy not always embraced by mainstream asset allocators. The balance between stocks, bonds, and real assets is an important part of what makes it tick, and the Swensen Portfolio serves as an educational window into the inner workings of some of the most successful funds that are responsible not for fleeting returns but for decades of sustainable growth and income. It may especially appeal to investors like early retirees who share similar goals.

Featured Discussion

Things We Can All Learn From The Yale vs. Buffett Debate

Performance

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Since 1970, an investor in Italy holding the Swensen Portfolio earned an average 6.1% real return, with a baseline CAGR of 3.3% over 15 years. It supported a 3.4% safe withdrawal rate for 30 years and 2.9% indefinitely. Its worst peak-to-trough loss was 47%, and the longest a new investment spent below water was under 15 years.

Swensen Portfolio Performance

For an investor in Italy, 1970โ€“2025
# Metric What it measures
6.1% Average return Mean annual return after inflation
3.3% Baseline real return (15 years) What 15-year stretches returned in the weaker outcomes
3.4% Safe withdrawal rate (30 years) Highest spending rate that lasted 30 years in the worst case
2.9% Long-term withdrawal rate The SWR floor over very long retirements
47% Deepest drawdown Worst peak-to-trough loss after inflation
15 years Longest drawdown Longest a new investment stayed below what you put in
15.6% Volatility (standard deviation) Year-to-year variation in returns
Stats for all home countries

Summary Stats by Home Country

Swensen Portfolio Performance by Home Country, 1970โ€“2025
Home country Average Baseline SWR LTWR Deepest Longest Volatility
Australia (aus) 5.9% 4.5% 3.6% 3.1% 51% 15 years 12.8%
Canada (can) 6.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4.2% 36% 10 years 10.4%
France (fra) 6.8% 4.8% 4.4% 3.9% 41% 14 years 14.4%
Germany (deu) 6.5% 5.3% 4.7% 4.1% 34% 11 years 13.8%
Italy (ita) 6.1% 3.3% 3.4% 2.9% 47% 15 years 15.6%
Japan (jpn) 6.3% 3.9% 3.9% 3.2% 48% 12 years 13.9%
Netherlands (nld) 6.8% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 43% 13 years 14.4%
Spain (esp) 5.7% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 62% 19 years 15.2%
Sweden (swe) 8.1% 6.1% 4.8% 4.4% 30% 12 years 14.9%
Switzerland (che) 5.9% 4.4% 3.8% 3.2% 48% 14 years 14.0%
United Kingdom (gbr) 6.1% 4.5% 4.4% 3.8% 52% 13 years 13.3%
United States (usa) 6.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.1% 37% 11 years 11.4%

To see this portfolio from a specific home country’s perspective, link readers to this page with ?home=COUNTRY added to the URL, using the codes shown in parentheses in the table above (e.g. ?home=aus). The portfolio itself is fixed by the page, so ?pk= has no effect here. More in the Guide for AI Assistants.

Charts

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Different ways to visualize the Swensen Portfolio

Charts
Annual Returns chart exampleAnnual ReturnsDrawdowns chart exampleDrawdownsEqualizer chart exampleEqualizerFinancial Independence chart exampleFinancial IndependenceHeat Map chart exampleHeat MapLong Term Returns chart exampleLong Term ReturnsPortfolio Growth chart examplePortfolio GrowthRetirement Spending chart exampleRetirement SpendingRolling Returns chart exampleRolling ReturnsSavings Rates chart exampleSavings RatesStart Date Sensitivity chart exampleStart Date SensitivityTarget Accuracy chart exampleTarget AccuracyWithdrawal Rates chart exampleWithdrawal Rates
Annual Returns
Swensen Portfolio

This displays the frequency and distribution of every individual inflation-adjusted annual return.

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Drawdowns
Swensen Portfolio

This maps the fall and eventual recovery of every inflation-adjusted loss (using year-end data).

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Equalizer
Swensen Portfolio

This compares the annual real returns of the portfolio to each asset and measures the volatility extremes.

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Financial Independence
Swensen Portfolio

This tracks the range of years needed to fully fund the portfolio’s long term withdrawal rate.

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Heat Map
Swensen Portfolio

This displays every real CAGR based on the year the money was invested and the years held.

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Long Term Returns
Swensen Portfolio

This shows the full range of real CAGRs starting in every year based on how long you stayed invested.

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Portfolio Growth
Swensen Portfolio

This tracks the inflation-adjusted portfolio growth of every investing start date simultaneously.

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Retirement Spending
Swensen Portfolio

This studies the real account values and withdrawals for every retirement year using custom withdrawal rules.

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Rolling Returns
Swensen Portfolio

This maps the rolling real CAGRs for a given investing timeframe starting in every year.

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Savings Rates
Swensen Portfolio

This shows the range of savings rates required to meet a financial goal looking at every investing timeframe.

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Start Date Sensitivity
Swensen Portfolio

This measures how the last 10-year return compared to the next 10-year return at any point in time.

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Target Accuracy
Swensen Portfolio

This shows how investor account values strayed from the smooth growth path implied by the long-term average.

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Withdrawal Rates
Swensen Portfolio

This charts the withdrawal rates of every retiree simultaneously assuming constant real spending levels.

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Comparisons

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How the Swensen Portfolio compares to other options

Portfolio Matrix
Swensen Portfolio

This ranks and sorts every tracked portfolio based on a variety of performance metrics.

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Alternatives


Portfolios with a similar structure or design intent

Ivy Portfolio — Another portfolio directly inspired by college endowments

Pinwheel Portfolio — Similar structure with a focus on real assets

7Twelve Portfolio — Same percentage of stocks and domestic bonds with fewer real assets

Articles


Insights that mention the Swensen Portfolio

December 9, 2023
The Best Returns Quilt Covers All Portfolios
May 8, 2023
The Striking Appeal of the Weird Portfolio
May 27, 2022
Proven Ways to Protect Your Portfolio From Inflation

Discussion


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